Will Kenley Jansen lose his closer job in 2020?
For the last decade Los Angeles Dodgers Kenley Jansen has been one of the best closers in baseball. He has however turned 32-years old and his best days are behind him. He managed the hold on to the closer job in 2019, but his stats are trending in the wrong direction.
Kenley Jansen has only pitched for one major league team and has now managed 611.2 IP and 301 saves for the Dodgers. He has clearly been a dominate force from the bullpen and for fantasy owners he has been mister consistency. If you need saves, just draft Jansen and he will get the job done.
However, in 2019 his stats are clearly trending in the wrong direction. Maybe it is due to his age or a temporary hick up? Before you invest too much draft capital in Jansen you should read this article because there are some red flags.
In 2020 Jansen will begin the season as the clear-cut number one as the team’s closer. He has little competition in LA. He is being draft as RP5, with an ADP of 95.4 on the ESPN platform (behind Josh Hader, Kirby Yates, Aroldis Chapman and Roberto Osuna). Clearly, he is seen as a closer for the entire 2020 season.
In 2019 Jansen saw a career worst in:
- ERA 3.71
- xFIP 3.77
- BS 8
- R 28 (tied with 2018)
- ER 26
- Hard% 38.7
- SIERA 3.21
All the above should get you worried if you have Jansen, but at the same time don’t panic. He can still be useful in 2020. In 2019 he still managed 11.43 K/9 and K% 30.4, acceptable numbers for a closer. And remember Los Angeles Dodgers are favorites to win the World Series and he will get his chances to get saves.
If Jansen stumbles Blake Treinen could be next man up. He was brought in from the Oakland Athletics, but he also had his problems in 2019 and needs to find his 2018 form. In 2019 Treinen gave up far too many walks with a career worst 5.68 BB/9 and 1.38 HR/9. If you combine those numbers with also a career worst 36.7 Hard% it simple wasn’t a good year. However, in 2018 Treinen picked up 38 saves for the Athletics combined with a xFIP of 2.42.
Another possible candidate could be Pedro Baez, but it is hard to imagine him getting the job for a World Series favorite.